Federal Recompete Intelligence

Don't just see which contracts expire.
Know who wins the recompete.

Cassandra finds federal contracts expiring in 90–180 days and predicts the winner of the recompete: the incumbent (with a quantified, signal-adjusted advantage) plus the top likely competitors, ranked by recent award velocity in that NAICS/agency lane. Honest probabilities, the base rates we used, and the sample size — no fake precision.

vs GovWin IQ / Bloomberg Government  $12k–$42k/yr for capture suites. Cassandra is the one question they make you dig for — who am I up against, and do I have a shot? — agent-callable, a fraction of the price.

Built for capture & BD teams

Incumbent advantage, quantified

We anchor on the documented ~62% incumbent-retention base rate, then adjust per-award for competition extent, offers received, and set-aside.

Your competitor field

The firms with live, demonstrated capability in the lane — ranked by recent wins and dollars. Know who you'll bid against before the RFP drops.

predict_recompete(contract)

One MCP/API call returns incumbent + ranked challengers with probabilities, base rates, and confidence. Wire it into your capture agent.

Watchlists + webhooks

Watch a NAICS lane, an agency, or a competitor. Get pushed the moment a high-value recompete enters the 90–180d window.

We are honest about scope: predictions are probabilistic estimates from public award patterns, not insider information and not a guarantee. Pre-award factors (price, key personnel, past-performance scores, solicitation strategy) are not public and are not modeled. Use this to prioritize capture, not to bet the company.

Pricing — capture intelligence, priced for teams

TierPriceAPI calls/dayPredictionsWatchlistsWebhooks
Free sample$025 summary0
Capture$400/mo5,000 full10
BD / Pipeline$1,800/mo25,000 full50
Embed / Resell$3k–$9k/mo250,000 full500

Full pricing & crypto checkout →